Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.466278 0.516267 0.570068 0.632392 0.702745 0.779862 0.871014
2025-06-08 0.382143 0.450213 0.528931 0.627179 0.747190 0.889870 1.073609
2025-06-15 0.338708 0.415782 0.509292 0.632066 0.790447 0.989823 1.262886
2025-06-22 0.301273 0.381902 0.483484 0.622348 0.809549 1.056483 1.412435
2025-06-29 0.273378 0.356105 0.463732 0.616061 0.829429 1.122701 1.565183
2025-07-06 0.243690 0.324641 0.432799 0.590386 0.818364 1.142894 1.652170
2025-07-13 0.229762 0.312932 0.427017 0.598121 0.853823 1.230988 1.847218
2025-07-20 0.217441 0.302178 0.421246 0.604650 0.887124 1.317896 2.049118
2025-07-27 0.206567 0.292457 0.415866 0.610745 0.919527 1.405526 2.261234
2025-08-03 0.196077 0.282388 0.408977 0.613546 0.946380 1.486046 2.469868
2025-08-10 0.187494 0.274457 0.404529 0.619444 0.978186 1.576971 2.706572
2025-08-17 0.175222 0.260034 0.389013 0.606178 0.976710 1.610809 2.843127
2025-08-24 0.168777 0.254378 0.387026 0.615215 1.014452 1.717630 3.132277
2025-08-31 0.159895 0.244312 0.377322 0.610557 1.027914 1.782371 3.348769
2025-09-07 0.153718 0.238136 0.373409 0.615269 1.058136 1.880414 3.644376
2025-09-14 0.145344 0.227845 0.361973 0.605851 1.061431 1.927337 3.839234
2025-09-21 0.138267 0.219270 0.352843 0.599757 1.070210 1.985424 4.065403
2025-09-28 0.128441 0.205541 0.334100 0.574864 1.040835 1.964275 4.112130
2025-10-05 0.124831 0.202164 0.333022 0.582364 1.075109 2.076146 4.478438
2025-10-12 0.121260 0.198636 0.331425 0.588694 1.107468 2.187169 4.859021
2025-10-19 0.117845 0.195177 0.329711 0.594603 1.139369 2.300371 5.262002
2025-10-26 0.114163 0.191040 0.326502 0.597319 1.164759 2.401745 5.650671
2025-11-02 0.111127 0.187889 0.324896 0.603036 1.196933 2.521738 6.107103